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I’ve not been profitable so far but mostly due to luck. I’ve done about 10 of these bets and I’ve got 1sts, 3rds, etc… everything but a 2nd :/ Gambling is profitable (and less complex) if you are lucky enough to pick the right horse 😀 If a strategy relies on luck then it’s not really worth considering, is it? 😉 I am looking at the next race on B365. Wild Flower is 5.0 to win. If you take cover insurance the odds are only 4.0. You would need to be getting pretty close match to 4.0 to be making a manageable Qualifying Loss. If you could get anything close to 4.0 to lay, they you can just back the simple win and lay at close to 4.0 for the arb. Good luck with your strategy, but I don’t see the value in the cover/insurance bets myself. If I was you I would keep very tidy records, bet small stakes or imaginary stakes for a month and prove the value. Then ramp up the stakes slowly if it really is profitable. How are you choosing your horses? Favourites? 2nd favourite to a very short odds on favourite? Lowest qualifying loss? If I know the bookies they will have the probability of the horse coming 2nd all built into the odds and then another chunk of profit added for themselves, so that the 4.0 is probably no more value than the 5.0 without insurance. FoG_BLoG 44 August 22, 2016 at 4:32 pm. hydro 0 August 22, 2016 at 7:00 pm.
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